DSGMP > MATHS > JBI > FWN > RUG

Programme

Monday 7 May

12.30 -- 14.00 Welcome lunch
14.00 -- 14.30 Opening
14.30 -- 15.30 Sebastian Wieczorek, Critical values and critical rates: Novel types of tipping points
15.30 -- 16.00 Coffee & Tea
16.00 -- 17.00 Davide Faranda, Breakdown of turbulence in a plane Couette flow. Can extreme fluctuations be used to understand critical transitions?


Tuesday 8 May

09.30 -- 10.30 Jonathan Flowerdew, Ensemble forecasts of hazardous weather
10.30 -- 11.00 Coffee & Tea
11.00 -- 12.00 Pau Rabassa, Extreme value laws in dynamical system under physical observables
12.00 -- 14.00 Lunch
14.00 -- 15.00 Mike Todd, Clustering of rare events in dynamical systems
15.00 -- 15.30 Coffee & Tea
15.30 -- 16.30 Frank Kwasniok, Regime-dependent modelling of extremes in the extra-tropical atmospheric circulation
16.30 -- 17.30 Andrew Ferguson, Extreme value theory in dynamical systems - the perturbative approach

19.00 Workshop dinner


Wednesday 9 May

09.30 -- 10.30 Valerio Lucarini, Extremes as dynamical indicators
10.30 -- 11.00 Coffee & Tea
11.00 -- 12.00 Alef Sterk, Predictability of extreme values in dynamical systems
12.00 -- 14.00 Lunch
14.00 -- 15.00 Stephane Vannitsem, Statistical properties of extreme events in an intermediate order atmospheric model
15.00 -- 15.30 Coffee & Tea
15.30 -- 16.30 Daan Crommelin, Regimes and metastability from a stochastic perspective
16.30 -- 17.30 Free slot / Open discussion


Thursday 10 May CANCELLED